Sunk Cost sunkcost.ai Data checked 2026-09-03

Gemma 4 31B it vs Nemotron 3.5 Lightning 30B-A3B

Gemma 4 31B it scores higher on the intelligence index, 15 against 14. Both take the same machine to start: the cheapest here that runs either is the Radeon AI PRO R9700, 32GB, at $1,299. The Radeon AI PRO R9700, 32GB is priced as the card alone, without the PC around it. On it, Nemotron 3.5 Lightning 30B-A3B is about 5.8× quicker: 127 tok/s against 22, both estimated from memory bandwidth. At 500k tokens a day the Radeon AI PRO R9700, 32GB pays for itself in 88 years running Nemotron 3.5 Lightning 30B-A3B, against 110 years running Gemma 4 31B it.

Gemma 4 31B itNemotron 3.5 Lightning 30B-A3B
Intelligence index1514
ClassHaiku-classBelow every hosted tier
Weights20 GB25 GB
Needs at 32k26 GB26 GB
QuantisationQ4_K_MQ4_K_M
Parameters31.3B31.6B (3B active)
Max context256k256k
API price per 1M$0.09 in / $0.34 out$0.08 in / $0.2 out
LicenceApache 2.0OpenMDW 1.1
Machines here that run it27 of 3727 of 37
Cheapest machine that runs itAMD Radeon AI PRO R9700, 32GB $1,299card onlyAMD Radeon AI PRO R9700, 32GB $1,299card only
Summarising not rated not rated
Translation not rated not rated
Everyday coding not rated not rated
Reasoning & maths not rated not rated
Agentic work not rated not rated

Run Gemma 4 31B it on the Radeon AI PRO R9700, 32GB · or Nemotron 3.5 Lightning 30B-A3B

Ratings are coarse on purpose: they say what a model is usable for, not where it places to the decimal.

Side by side on the Radeon AI PRO R9700, 32GB

The cheapest machine that runs either model is the same one, so this is the pair doing the same work on the same hardware: AMD Radeon AI PRO R9700, 32GB, at $1,299card only.

Gemma 4 31B itNemotron 3.5 Lightning 30B-A3B
Speed at 32k22 tok/s estimated127 tok/s estimated
Pay-back on this machinePays back in 110 yearsPays back in 88 years
API cost per month$1.61$1.33

Run Gemma 4 31B it on the Radeon AI PRO R9700, 32GB · or Nemotron 3.5 Lightning 30B-A3B

How much use it takes to pay for the machine

Everything above is at 500k tokens a day. Pay-back moves with how much you actually run, so here are both models at the five levels of use the calculator names, on the Radeon AI PRO R9700, 32GB. Nemotron 3.5 Lightning 30B-A3B pays for it sooner at every level of use, so which of them to run does not turn on how hard you work it.

A day's useGemma 4 31B itNemotron 3.5 Lightning 30B-A3B
50ka few chats a day1,101 years883 years
200klight assistant use275 years221 years
1Ma moderate coding-assistant day55 years44 years
4Mheavy coding with an agent14 years11 years
20Magents running most of the day2.8 years2.2 years

Run Gemma 4 31B it at 20M tokens a day · or Nemotron 3.5 Lightning 30B-A3B

Memory is not what separates them

Gemma 4 31B it needs 26 GB of memory at 32k of context and Nemotron 3.5 Lightning 30B-A3B needs 26 GB. Every machine priced here that runs one runs the other, at 32k of context. So the choice between them is what each is good at, how fast it runs and what the same work costs on an API, not what you have to buy to hold it.

Gemma 4 31B it is also head to head with Qwen3.5 122B-A10B above it on the leaderboard, Granite 4.2 30B below it and Gemma 3 27B it, the last-generation Gemma nearest it in size. Nemotron 3.5 Lightning 30B-A3B is also head to head with Qwen3.5 9B above it on the leaderboard and Qwen3 235B-A22B Instruct 2507 below it.

The assumptions behind both columns

Both columns use the same usage: 500k tokens a day at 15:1 input to output, 32k of context, $0.17 per kWh, and today's API prices held flat. Speeds marked estimated are worked out from memory bandwidth rather than measured, and pay-back scales with them. Where nobody rents an open model by the token, its API prices are the nearest hosted model's, named beside them. Machines are the 37 here with a published price that are still sold. Change any of it in the calculator.

More head to head: every machine that runs Gemma 4 31B it · every machine that runs Nemotron 3.5 Lightning 30B-A3B · every other match-up · both against the frontier · the quickest pay-back at each level of use