Sunk Cost sunkcost.ai Data checked 2026-09-03

Qwen3.5 122B-A10B vs Gemma 4 31B it

Qwen3.5 122B-A10B scores higher on the intelligence index, 16 against 15. The cheapest machine here that runs Qwen3.5 122B-A10B is the Framework Desktop, 128GB, at $3,449. Gemma 4 31B it runs on the Framework Desktop, 32GB at $1,269, $2,180 less. On the Framework Desktop, 128GB, the cheapest machine here that runs both, Qwen3.5 122B-A10B is about 2.4× quicker: 20 tok/s against 8.3, both estimated from memory bandwidth. At 500k tokens a day the Framework Desktop, 128GB pays for itself in 53 years running Qwen3.5 122B-A10B, against 279 years running Gemma 4 31B it.

Qwen3.5 122B-A10BGemma 4 31B it
Intelligence index1615
ClassHaiku-classHaiku-class
Weights78 GB20 GB
Needs at 32k79 GB23 GB
QuantisationUD-Q4_K_MQ4_K_M
Parameters125.1B (10B active)31.3B
Max context256k256k
API price per 1M$0.26 in / $2.08 out$0.1 in / $0.34 out
LicenceApache 2.0Apache 2.0
Machines here that run it12 of 3728 of 37
Cheapest machine that runs itStrix Halo Framework Desktop, 128GB $3,449Strix Halo Framework Desktop, 32GB $1,269

Run Qwen3.5 122B-A10B on the Framework Desktop, 128GB · or Gemma 4 31B it on the Framework Desktop, 32GB

Jump to: Side by side on the Framework Desktop, 128GB · How much use it takes to pay for the machine · Machines that run one and not the other · The assumptions behind both columns

Side by side on the Framework Desktop, 128GB

The table above gives each model the cheapest machine that runs it, and those are two different machines, so nothing in it is a like-for-like race. The Strix Halo Framework Desktop, 128GB is the cheapest machine here that runs both, so this is the pair doing the same work on the same hardware.

Qwen3.5 122B-A10BGemma 4 31B it
Speed at 32k20 tok/s estimated8.3 tok/s estimated
Pay-back on this machinePays back in 53 yearsPays back in 279 years
API cost per month$5.69$1.75

Run Qwen3.5 122B-A10B on the Framework Desktop, 128GB · or Gemma 4 31B it

How much use it takes to pay for the machine

Everything above is at 500k tokens a day. Pay-back moves with how much you actually run, so here are both models at the five levels of use the calculator names, on the Framework Desktop, 128GB. Qwen3.5 122B-A10B pays for it sooner at every level of use, so which of them to run does not turn on how hard you work it.

A day's useQwen3.5 122B-A10BGemma 4 31B it
50ka few chats a day533 years2,789 years
200klight assistant use133 years697 years
1Ma moderate coding-assistant day27 years139 years
4Mheavy coding with an agent6.7 years35 years
20Magents running most of the day16 months12 yearsits ceiling

The Framework Desktop, 128GB generates at most 11.5M tokens a day on Gemma 4 31B it, so that column's figure at 20M tokens a day is for the most it can do, not for the whole of what was asked.

Run Qwen3.5 122B-A10B at 20M tokens a day · or Gemma 4 31B it

Machines that run one and not the other

Gemma 4 31B it needs 23 GB of memory at 32k of context and Qwen3.5 122B-A10B needs 79 GB. That puts Gemma 4 31B it on 16 of the 37 machines priced here that Qwen3.5 122B-A10B does not, starting at $1,269.

MachinePriceMemorySpeed on Gemma 4 31B itPay-back
Strix Halo Framework Desktop, 32GB$1,26932 GB8.3 tok/s estimatedPays back in 103 years
AMD Radeon AI PRO R9700, 32GB$1,299card only32 GB24 tok/s estimatedPays back in 91 years
Strix Halo Corsair AI Workstation 300, 64GB$1,70064 GB8.3 tok/s estimatedPays back in 137 years
Strix Halo Framework Desktop, 64GB$1,95964 GB8.3 tok/s estimatedPays back in 158 years
NVIDIA GeForce RTX 5090, 32GB$1,999card only32 GB53 tok/s estimatedPays back in 131 years
Strix Halo GMKtec EVO-X2, 64GB$2,20064 GB8.3 tok/s estimatedPays back in 195 years

10 more, on the Gemma 4 31B it page.

Qwen3.5 122B-A10B is also head to head with Gemma 4 26B-A4B above it on the leaderboard. Two more models need much the same memory: Ling 3.0 flash and GLM-4.5-Air. Gemma 4 31B it is also head to head with Granite 4.2 30B below it on the leaderboard and Gemma 3 27B it, the last-generation Gemma nearest it in size. One more model needs much the same memory: Qwen3.6 35B-A3B.

The assumptions behind both columns

Both columns use the same usage: 500k tokens a day at 15:1 input to output, 32k of context, $0.17 per kWh, and today's API prices held flat. Speeds marked estimated are worked out from memory bandwidth rather than measured, and pay-back scales with them. Where nobody rents an open model by the token, its API prices are the nearest hosted model's, named beside them. Machines are the 37 here with a published price that are still sold. Change any of it in the calculator.

More head to head: every machine that runs Qwen3.5 122B-A10B · every machine that runs Gemma 4 31B it · every other match-up · both against the frontier · the quickest pay-back at each level of use