Sunk Cost sunkcost.ai Data checked 2026-09-03

Gemma 4 31B it vs Qwen3 30B-A3B Instruct 2507

Gemma 4 31B it scores higher on the intelligence index, 15 against 10. Both take the same machine to start: the cheapest here that runs either is the Framework Desktop, 32GB, at $1,269. On it, Qwen3 30B-A3B Instruct 2507 is about 3.3× quicker: 27 tok/s against 8.3, both estimated from memory bandwidth. At 500k tokens a day the Framework Desktop, 32GB pays for itself in 119 years running Gemma 4 31B it, against 164 years running Qwen3 30B-A3B Instruct 2507.

Gemma 4 31B itQwen3 30B-A3B Instruct 2507
Intelligence index1510
ClassHaiku-classBelow every hosted tier
Weights20 GB19 GB
Needs at 32k23 GB22 GB
QuantisationQ4_K_MQ4_K_M
Parameters31.3B30.5B (3.3B active)
Max context256k256k
API price per 1M$0.09 in / $0.34 out$0.048 in / $0.193 out
LicenceApache 2.0Apache 2.0
Machines here that run it28 of 3728 of 37
Cheapest machine that runs itStrix Halo Framework Desktop, 32GB $1,269Strix Halo Framework Desktop, 32GB $1,269

Run Gemma 4 31B it on the Framework Desktop, 32GB · or Qwen3 30B-A3B Instruct 2507

Jump to: Side by side on the Framework Desktop, 32GB · How much use it takes to pay for the machine · Memory is not what separates them · The assumptions behind both columns

Side by side on the Framework Desktop, 32GB

The cheapest machine that runs either model is the same one, so this is the pair doing the same work on the same hardware: Strix Halo Framework Desktop, 32GB, at $1,269.

Gemma 4 31B itQwen3 30B-A3B Instruct 2507
Speed at 32k8.3 tok/s estimated27 tok/s estimated
Pay-back on this machinePays back in 119 yearsPays back in 164 years
API cost per month$1.61$0.87

Run Gemma 4 31B it on the Framework Desktop, 32GB · or Qwen3 30B-A3B Instruct 2507

How much use it takes to pay for the machine

Everything above is at 500k tokens a day. Pay-back moves with how much you actually run, so here are both models at the five levels of use the calculator names, on the Framework Desktop, 32GB. Gemma 4 31B it pays for it sooner at every level up to 4M tokens a day. Above that Qwen3 30B-A3B Instruct 2507 does.

A day's useGemma 4 31B itQwen3 30B-A3B Instruct 2507
50ka few chats a day1,191 years1,635 years
200klight assistant use298 years409 years
1Ma moderate coding-assistant day60 years82 years
4Mheavy coding with an agent15 years20 years
20Magents running most of the day5.2 yearsits ceiling4.1 years

The Framework Desktop, 32GB generates at most 11.5M tokens a day on Gemma 4 31B it, so that column's figure at 20M tokens a day is for the most it can do, not for the whole of what was asked.

Run Gemma 4 31B it at 20M tokens a day · or Qwen3 30B-A3B Instruct 2507

Memory is not what separates them

Gemma 4 31B it needs 23 GB of memory at 32k of context and Qwen3 30B-A3B Instruct 2507 needs 22 GB. Every machine priced here that runs one runs the other, at 32k of context. So the choice between them is what each is good at, how fast it runs and what the same work costs on an API, not what you have to buy to hold it.

Gemma 4 31B it is also head to head with Qwen3.5 122B-A10B above it on the leaderboard, Granite 4.2 30B below it and Gemma 3 27B it, the last-generation Gemma nearest it in size. Two more models need much the same memory: Qwen3.6 35B-A3B and Qwen3-Coder 30B-A3B. Qwen3 30B-A3B Instruct 2507 is also head to head with Mistral Small 4 (119B-2603) above it on the leaderboard and Qwen3-Coder 30B-A3B, the current Qwen nearest it in size.

The assumptions behind both columns

Both columns use the same usage: 500k tokens a day at 15:1 input to output, 32k of context, $0.17 per kWh, and today's API prices held flat. Speeds marked estimated are worked out from memory bandwidth rather than measured, and pay-back scales with them. Where nobody rents an open model by the token, its API prices are the nearest hosted model's, named beside them. Machines are the 37 here with a published price that are still sold. Change any of it in the calculator.

More head to head: every machine that runs Gemma 4 31B it · every machine that runs Qwen3 30B-A3B Instruct 2507 · every other match-up · both against the frontier · the quickest pay-back at each level of use