Sunk Cost sunkcost.ai Data checked 2026-09-03

NVIDIA GeForce RTX 4090, 24GB vs NVIDIA GeForce RTX 3060, 12GB for local AI

The GeForce RTX 4090, 24GB holds 24 of the 39 open models here, and the GeForce RTX 3060, 12GB holds 11. The GeForce RTX 3060, 12GB costs $1,270 less, both priced as the card alone, without the PC around either. On Gemma 4 12B, the strongest model both hold, the GeForce RTX 4090, 24GB is about 2.7× faster: 102 tok/s against 38, both estimated from memory bandwidth. The GeForce RTX 4090, 24GB pays for itself sooner, in 21 years against 26 years at 500k tokens a day, though that is each machine on its own strongest model rather than on the same one. Both are previous-generation parts, so every figure here is priced at what they launched at rather than at prices you can pay today.

NVIDIA GeForce RTX 4090, 24GBNVIDIA GeForce RTX 3060, 12GB
Price$1,599card only$329card only
Memory24 GB12 GB
Usable by the GPU23 GB11 GB
Memory bandwidth1008 GB/s360 GB/s
Power under load450 W170 W
Models that fit2411
Best model it runsQwen3.8 27BGemma 4 12B
Speed on that model44 tok/s estimatedQwen3.8 27B38 tok/s estimatedGemma 4 12B
Pay-back on that modelPays back in 21 yearsPays back in 26 years

Run the numbers on the NVIDIA GeForce RTX 4090, 24GB · or the NVIDIA GeForce RTX 3060, 12GB

Side by side on Gemma 4 12B

The table above gives each machine the strongest model it can hold, and those are not the same model, so the two speeds in it are not a race. Gemma 4 12B is the strongest model both machines hold, so this is the pair running the same work.

NVIDIA GeForce RTX 4090, 24GBNVIDIA GeForce RTX 3060, 12GB
Speed102 tok/s estimated38 tok/s estimated
Pay-backPays back in 125 yearsPays back in 26 years

Run Gemma 4 12B on the NVIDIA GeForce RTX 4090, 24GB · or on the NVIDIA GeForce RTX 3060, 12GB

How much use it takes to pay back

Everything above is at 500k tokens a day. Pay-back moves with how much you actually run, so here are both machines on the same model, at the five levels of use the calculator names. The NVIDIA GeForce RTX 3060, 12GB pays back sooner at every level of use, so this is not a choice that turns on how hard you work it.

A day's useNVIDIA GeForce RTX 4090, 24GBNVIDIA GeForce RTX 3060, 12GB
50ka few chats a day1,249 years257 years
200klight assistant use312 years64 years
1Ma moderate coding-assistant day62 years13 years
4Mheavy coding with an agent16 years3.2 years
20Magents running most of the day3.1 years7.7 months

Run the NVIDIA GeForce RTX 4090, 24GB at 20M tokens a day · or the NVIDIA GeForce RTX 3060, 12GB

What the extra memory buys

The NVIDIA GeForce RTX 4090, 24GB holds 13 models the NVIDIA GeForce RTX 3060, 12GB cannot at 32k of context. The strongest of them are what the difference in memory actually buys.

ModelWeightsNeeds at 32kOn the NVIDIA GeForce RTX 4090, 24GB
Qwen3.8 27BSonnet-class16 GB19 GB44 tok/s estimated
Qwen3.6 27BHaiku-class17 GB19 GB43 tok/s estimated
Qwen3.6 35B-A3BHaiku-class22 GB23 GB204 tok/s estimated
Muse Glimmer 30BHaiku-class17 GB18 GB46 tok/s estimated
Gemma 4 26B-A4BHaiku-class17 GB18 GB150 tok/s estimated
GLM-4.7-FlashHaiku-class18 GB20 GB145 tok/s estimated

7 more, on the NVIDIA GeForce RTX 4090, 24GB page.

The assumptions behind both columns

Both columns use the same usage: 500k tokens a day at 15:1 input to output, 32k of context, $0.17 per kWh, and today's API prices held flat. Speeds marked estimated are worked out from memory bandwidth rather than measured, and pay-back scales with them. Graphics cards are priced as the card alone, so add the PC around one before comparing it with a complete computer. Change any of it in the calculator.

More head to head: everything the NVIDIA GeForce RTX 4090, 24GB runs · everything the NVIDIA GeForce RTX 3060, 12GB runs · every other match-up · the quickest pay-back at each level of use · every model against the frontier