Sunk Cost sunkcost.ai Data checked 2026-09-03

NVIDIA GeForce RTX 5090, 32GB vs NVIDIA GeForce RTX 4080, 16GB for local AI

The GeForce RTX 5090, 32GB holds 27 of the 39 open models here, and the GeForce RTX 4080, 16GB holds 13. The GeForce RTX 4080, 16GB costs $800 less, both priced as the card alone, without the PC around either. On Gemma 4 12B, the strongest model both hold, the GeForce RTX 5090, 32GB is about 2.1× faster: 155 tok/s against 74, both estimated from memory bandwidth. The GeForce RTX 5090, 32GB pays for itself sooner, in 25 years against 93 years at 500k tokens a day, though that is each machine on its own strongest model rather than on the same one. The GeForce RTX 4080, 16GB is the previous generation, so every figure here for it is priced at what it launched at rather than at a price you can pay today.

NVIDIA GeForce RTX 5090, 32GBNVIDIA GeForce RTX 4080, 16GB
Price$1,999card only$1,199card only
Memory32 GB16 GB
Usable by the GPU31 GB15 GB
Memory bandwidth1792 GB/s716.8 GB/s
Power under load575 W320 W
Models that fit2713
Best model it runsQwen3.8 27BGemma 4 12B
Speed on that model66 tok/s estimatedQwen3.8 27B74 tok/s estimatedGemma 4 12B
Pay-back on that modelPays back in 25 yearsPays back in 93 years

Run the numbers on the NVIDIA GeForce RTX 5090, 32GB · or the NVIDIA GeForce RTX 4080, 16GB

Side by side on Gemma 4 12B

The table above gives each machine the strongest model it can hold, and those are not the same model, so the two speeds in it are not a race. Gemma 4 12B is the strongest model both machines hold, so this is the pair running the same work.

NVIDIA GeForce RTX 5090, 32GBNVIDIA GeForce RTX 4080, 16GB
Speed155 tok/s estimated74 tok/s estimated
Pay-backPays back in 152 yearsPays back in 93 years

Run Gemma 4 12B on the NVIDIA GeForce RTX 5090, 32GB · or on the NVIDIA GeForce RTX 4080, 16GB

How much use it takes to pay back

Everything above is at 500k tokens a day. Pay-back moves with how much you actually run, so here are both machines on the same model, at the five levels of use the calculator names. The NVIDIA GeForce RTX 4080, 16GB pays back sooner at every level of use, so this is not a choice that turns on how hard you work it.

A day's useNVIDIA GeForce RTX 5090, 32GBNVIDIA GeForce RTX 4080, 16GB
50ka few chats a day1,517 years934 years
200klight assistant use379 years234 years
1Ma moderate coding-assistant day76 years47 years
4Mheavy coding with an agent19 years12 years
20Magents running most of the day3.8 years2.3 years

Run the NVIDIA GeForce RTX 5090, 32GB at 20M tokens a day · or the NVIDIA GeForce RTX 4080, 16GB

What the extra memory buys

The NVIDIA GeForce RTX 5090, 32GB holds 14 models the NVIDIA GeForce RTX 4080, 16GB cannot at 32k of context. The strongest of them are what the difference in memory actually buys.

ModelWeightsNeeds at 32kOn the NVIDIA GeForce RTX 5090, 32GB
Qwen3.8 27BSonnet-class16 GB19 GB66 tok/s estimated
Qwen3.6 27BHaiku-class17 GB19 GB65 tok/s estimated
Qwen3.6 35B-A3BHaiku-class22 GB23 GB235 tok/s estimated
Muse Glimmer 30BHaiku-class17 GB18 GB69 tok/s estimated
Gemma 4 26B-A4BHaiku-class17 GB18 GB172 tok/s estimated
Gemma 4 31B itHaiku-class20 GB26 GB48 tok/s estimated

8 more, on the NVIDIA GeForce RTX 5090, 32GB page.

The assumptions behind both columns

Both columns use the same usage: 500k tokens a day at 15:1 input to output, 32k of context, $0.17 per kWh, and today's API prices held flat. Speeds marked estimated are worked out from memory bandwidth rather than measured, and pay-back scales with them. Graphics cards are priced as the card alone, so add the PC around one before comparing it with a complete computer. Change any of it in the calculator.

More head to head: everything the NVIDIA GeForce RTX 5090, 32GB runs · everything the NVIDIA GeForce RTX 4080, 16GB runs · every other match-up · the quickest pay-back at each level of use · every model against the frontier