Sunk Cost sunkcost.ai Data checked 2026-09-03

Mac mini M5 Pro: 24GB vs 64GB for local AI

The Mac mini M5 Pro, 64GB holds 27 of the 39 open models here, and the Mac mini M5 Pro, 24GB holds 13. The Mac mini M5 Pro, 24GB costs $1,000 less. On Gemma 4 12B, the strongest model both hold, they run at much the same speed: 29 and 29 tok/s, both estimated from memory bandwidth. The Mac mini M5 Pro, 64GB pays for itself sooner, in 35 years against 135 years at 500k tokens a day, though that is each machine on its own strongest model rather than on the same one.

Mac mini M5 Pro, 24GBMac mini M5 Pro, 64GB
Price$1,699$2,699
Memory24 GB64 GB
Usable by the GPU16 GB48 GB
Memory bandwidth307 GB/s307 GB/s
Power under load140 Wstand-in140 Wstand-in
Models that fit1327
Best model it runsGemma 4 12BQwen3.8 27B
Speed on that model29 tok/s estimatedGemma 4 12B12 tok/s estimatedQwen3.8 27B
Pay-back on that modelPays back in 135 yearsPays back in 35 years

Neither power figure above is measured on the machine beside it. Both are stand-ins borrowed from the nearest hardware the data does have, so what the row shows is one borrowed figure printed twice. Each machine's page names the figure it borrows and why. Every pay-back figure on this page prices its electricity from these numbers.

Run the numbers on the Mac mini M5 Pro, 24GB · or the Mac mini M5 Pro, 64GB

Side by side on Gemma 4 12B

The table above gives each machine the strongest model it can hold, and those are not the same model, so the two speeds in it are not a race. Gemma 4 12B is the strongest model both machines hold, so this is the pair running the same work.

Mac mini M5 Pro, 24GBMac mini M5 Pro, 64GB
Speed29 tok/s estimated29 tok/s estimated
Pay-backPays back in 135 yearsPays back in 215 years

Run Gemma 4 12B on the Mac mini M5 Pro, 24GB · or on the Mac mini M5 Pro, 64GB

How much use it takes to pay back

Everything above is at 500k tokens a day. Pay-back moves with how much you actually run, so here are both machines on the same model, at the five levels of use the calculator names. The Mac mini M5 Pro, 24GB pays back sooner at every level of use, so this is not a choice that turns on how hard you work it.

A day's useMac mini M5 Pro, 24GBMac mini M5 Pro, 64GB
50ka few chats a day1,353 years2,149 years
200klight assistant use338 years537 years
1Ma moderate coding-assistant day68 years107 years
4Mheavy coding with an agent17 years27 years
20Magents running most of the day3.4 years5.4 years

Run the Mac mini M5 Pro, 24GB at 20M tokens a day · or the Mac mini M5 Pro, 64GB

What the extra memory buys

The Mac mini M5 Pro, 64GB holds 14 models the Mac mini M5 Pro, 24GB cannot at 32k of context. The strongest of them are what the difference in memory actually buys.

ModelWeightsNeeds at 32kOn the Mac mini M5 Pro, 64GB
Qwen3.8 27BSonnet-class16 GB19 GB12 tok/s estimated
Qwen3.6 27BHaiku-class17 GB19 GB12 tok/s estimated
Qwen3.6 35B-A3BHaiku-class22 GB23 GB37 tok/s estimated
Muse Glimmer 30BHaiku-class17 GB18 GB13 tok/s estimated
Gemma 4 26B-A4BHaiku-class17 GB18 GB27 tok/s estimated
Gemma 4 31B itHaiku-class20 GB26 GB8.9 tok/s estimated

8 more, on the Mac mini M5 Pro, 64GB page.

The assumptions behind both columns

Both columns use the same usage: 500k tokens a day at 15:1 input to output, 32k of context, $0.17 per kWh, and today's API prices held flat. Speeds marked estimated are worked out from memory bandwidth rather than measured, and pay-back scales with them. Graphics cards are priced as the card alone, so add the PC around one before comparing it with a complete computer. Change any of it in the calculator.

More head to head: everything the Mac mini M5 Pro, 24GB runs · everything the Mac mini M5 Pro, 64GB runs · every other match-up · the quickest pay-back at each level of use · every model against the frontier