Sunk Cost sunkcost.ai Data checked 2026-09-03

Can a Mac mini M5 Pro, 24GB run local LLMs?

Yes — 13 of the 39 open models on this site fit in its 16 GB of usable memory, the strongest being Gemma 4 12B. Whether that saves you money is a different question, and the answer is usually no.

Price$1,699
Memory24 GB, about 16 GB of it addressable by the GPU at 307 GB/s
Best model it runsGemma 4 12B — Below every hosted tier, 29 tok/s
Pay-back against the APIPays back in 135 years at 500k tokens a day

Run the numbers on this machine

What it runs

ModelSpeedClassGood atMemory
Gemma 4 12BQ4_K_M 29 tok/s Below every hosted tier 8.0 GB
Qwen3.5 9BQ4_K_M 34 tok/s Below every hosted tier 6.8 GB
MiniCPM5 2BQ4_K_M 78 tok/s Below every hosted tier 3.0 GB
Qwen3.5 4BQ4_K_M 60 tok/s Below every hosted tier 3.8 GB
Ling 3.0 tinyQ4_K_M 38 tok/s Below every hosted tier 6.4 GB
Granite 4.2 8BQ4_K_M 21 tok/s Below every hosted tier 11 GB
gpt-oss-20bMXFP4 32 tok/s Below every hosted tier 13 GB
Gemma 4 E4BQAT Q4_0 27 tok/s Below every hosted tier 5.7 GB
LFM2.5 2.6BQ4_K_M 104 tok/s Below every hosted tier 2.2 GB
Ministral 3 14BQ4_K_M 17 tok/s Below every hosted tier 14 GB
Ministral 3 8BQ4_K_M 24 tok/s Below every hosted tier 9.8 GB
Ornith 1.5 9BQ4_K_M 34 tok/s not yet placed 6.9 GB

1 more fit; the calculator lists them all.

The specifics

Chip
M5 Pro — 15-core CPU / 16-core GPU
Memory bandwidth
307 GB/s
Usable by the GPU
16 GB — macOS lets the GPU wire roughly two-thirds of unified memory by default (llama.cpp discussion #2182: 66.7% at 32 GiB or less, 75% above). Raise it with `sudo sysctl iogpu.wired_limit_mb`. Memory is treated as GB throughout, which is slightly conservative.
Power under load
140 W (stand in) — Apple has not published power figures for the 2026 machines yet (support articles 103253 / 102027 stop at the 2024/2025 models). Stand-in: Apple's published maximum for the previous chip (M4 Pro Mac mini, 140 W), which is a CPU+GPU stress figure, so it likely overstates inference draw.
Availability
Pre-order; ships 2026-09-22.
Sources
source 1, source 2, source 3