Sunk Cost sunkcost.ai Data checked 2026-09-03

Can a MacBook Pro M5 (14-inch), 16GB run local LLMs?

Yes — 12 of the 48 current models on this site fit in its 10.5 GB of usable memory, and two more if you keep the window shorter than 32k. The strongest it holds, Gemma 4 12B, runs at 14 tok/s with a 32k window, worked out from memory bandwidth. Whether that saves you money is a different question: at $1,999 and 500k tokens a day, it pays back in 157 years.

Price$1,999
Memory16 GB, about 10.5 GB of it addressable by the GPU at 153 GB/s
Best model it runsGemma 4 12B — Below every hosted tier, 14 tok/s estimated
Pay-back against the APIPays back in 157 years at 500k tokens a day

Run the numbers on this machine

What the MacBook Pro M5 (14-inch), 16GB runs

They do not all hold the same window. The weights are a fixed size, but the key-value cache grows with every token you keep, so what is left of 10.5 GB after the weights is how far the context goes. On 7 of the 12 below, this machine's memory is what runs out first: Ministral 3 8B stops soonest, at 32k. The rest reach 256k, where the calculator's list ends, or the longest setting their own context limit allows.

ModelSpeedClassMemoryLongest context
Gemma 4 12BQ4_K_M 14 tok/s estimated Below every hosted tier 8.0 GB 128kmemory
Qwen3.5 9BQ4_K_M 17 tok/s estimated Below every hosted tier 6.8 GB 128kmemory
MiniCPM5 2BQ4_K_M 39 tok/s estimated Below every hosted tier 3.0 GB 128k
Qwen3.5 4BQ4_K_M 30 tok/s estimated Below every hosted tier 3.8 GB 128kmemory
Ling 3.0 tinyQ4_K_M 45 tok/s estimated Below every hosted tier 5.0 GB 128k
Gemma 4 E4BQAT Q4_0 13 tok/s estimated Below every hosted tier 5.7 GB 128k
LFM2.5 2.6BQ4_K_M 52 tok/s estimated Below every hosted tier 2.2 GB 128k
Ministral 3 8BQ4_K_M 12 tok/s estimated Below every hosted tier 9.8 GB 32kmemory
LFM3 1.7BQ4_K_M 76 tok/s estimated not yet placed 1.5 GB 256k
Ornith 1.5 9BQ4_K_M 17 tok/s estimated not yet placed 6.9 GB 128kmemory
Spark-X2.5 4BQ4_K_M 30 tok/s estimated not yet placed 3.9 GB 128kmemory
Spark-X2.6 4BQ4_K_M 24 tok/s estimated not yet placed 4.8 GB 128kmemory

Speed and memory are at 32k context, the setting the calculator starts on; the memory column is the weights plus the cache for that much of it. Each speed says how it was arrived at, and every one here is estimated from this machine's 153 GB/s of memory bandwidth rather than taken from a published benchmark. There is a page on how that sum works, and what each size needs, and one on what 16 GB runs, machine by machine. The longest context is the longest setting the calculator offers that this machine still holds the model at, cache included, and each one opens the calculator on that model at that length. A figure tagged memory is one this machine ran out of room for, and the rest are stopped by the model's own limit or by the end of the list.

For scale, the calculator starts from 80 tok/s for a hosted API and times a local machine against it. Nothing above reaches it, and the quickest is 76 tok/s.

On a laptop, sustained speed drops once the chassis warms up and the fans cap out, so a desktop with the same chip will hold a higher tokens/sec over a long generation than the figures here suggest.

The 48 counted above are the current models. This site prices 16 superseded ones as well, because people still run them, and this machine holds three of those at 32k, strongest first: Llama 3.1 8B Instruct at Q4_K_M, Qwen3 8B, Gemma 3 12B it. Each of those pages asks whether the model is still worth running.

Two more, at a shorter window

The table above counts what fits at 32k, the context the calculator starts on. Two more models fit this machine at a shorter one. Same weights, smaller cache.

ModelLongest window it fitsNeeds thereNeeds at 32k
Granite 4.2 8BQ4_K_M 16k 8.0 GB 11 GB
Ministral 3 14BQ4_K_M 8k 9.6 GB 14 GB

Each window is the longest setting the calculator offers that this machine still holds the model at, and it opens the calculator on that model at that length. The memory figures are the weights plus the key-value cache at that window, against the 10.5 GB this machine's GPU can use.

Other machines to weigh against the MacBook Pro M5 (14-inch), 16GB

MachinePriceMemoryModels that fitPay-back
The rest of the MacBook Pro range
MacBook Pro M5 (14-inch), 32GB $2,399 32 GB 22 Pays back in 157 years
MacBook Pro M5 Pro (16-inch), 24GB $2,999 24 GB 16 Pays back in 239 years
MacBook Pro M5 Pro (16-inch), 48GB $3,599 48 GB 32 Pays back in 242 years
MacBook Pro M5 Pro (16-inch), 64GB $3,999 64 GB 32 Pays back in 269 years
MacBook Pro M5 Max (16-inch), 48GB $4,999 48 GB 32 Pays back in 281 years
MacBook Pro M5 Max (16-inch), 64GB $5,399 64 GB 32 Pays back in 304 years
MacBook Pro M5 Max (16-inch), 128GB $6,999 128 GB 39 Pays back in 393 years
Nearest in price elsewhere on the list
MacBook Air M5 (15-inch), 16GB $1,499 16 GB 12 Pays back in 118 years
Mac mini M5 Pro, 24GB $1,699 24 GB 16 Pays back in 135 years
Strix Halo Framework Desktop, 64GB $1,959 64 GB 32 Pays back in 140 years
NVIDIA GeForce RTX 5090, 32GB $1,999card only 32 GB 32 Pays back in 123 years
Mac Studio M5 Max, 36GB $2,499 36 GB 32 Pays back in 149 years

Every row uses the same defaults as the figures above: 500k tokens a day at 15:1 input to output, 32k context, and each machine's strongest model that fits, counted against the same 48 current models. The GeForce RTX 5090, 32GB is priced as the card alone, so add the PC around it before comparing it with a complete computer. All seven cards here are ranked by what each one holds.

Head to head with a graphics card: GeForce RTX 5090, 32GB. With the same machine at another memory size: 32GB. There are 111 machine match-ups on the site.

The specifics

Chip
M5 (14-inch) — 10-core CPU / 10-core GPU
Memory bandwidth
153 GB/s
Usable by the GPU
10.5 GB — macOS lets the GPU wire roughly two-thirds of unified memory by default (llama.cpp discussion #2182: 66.7% at 32 GiB or less, 75% above). Raise it with `sudo sysctl iogpu.wired_limit_mb`.
Power under load
65 W (stand-in) — Apple has published no power figures for the 2026 Macs, and none at all for sustained GPU load on a laptop. Stand-in: the desktop maximum for the equivalent chip (M4 Mac mini, 65 W). A laptop draws less than that, so the electricity line here is an over-estimate.
Availability
Shipping.
Sources
Apple (specs), Apple (store), Apple Support