Can a Mac mini M5 Pro, 48GB run local LLMs?
Yes — 32 of the 48 current models on this site fit in its 36 GB of usable memory. The strongest it holds, Qwen3.8 27B, runs at 12 tok/s with a 32k window, worked out from memory bandwidth. Whether that saves you money is a different question: at $2,299 and 500k tokens a day, it pays back in 155 years.
Run the numbers on this machine
What the Mac mini M5 Pro, 48GB runs
They do not all hold the same window. The weights are a fixed size, but the key-value cache grows with every token you keep, so what is left of 36 GB after the weights is how far the context goes. On 2 of the 12 below, this machine's memory is what runs out first: Granite 4.2 30B stops soonest, at 64k. The rest reach 256k, where the calculator's list ends, or the longest setting their own context limit allows.
| Model | Speed | Class | Memory | Longest context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3.8 27BQ4_K_M | 12 tok/s estimated | Sonnet-class | 19 GB | 256k |
| Qwen3.6 27BQ4_K_M | 12 tok/s estimated | Haiku-class | 19 GB | 256k |
| Nemotron 3.5 Bolt 74B-A9BIQ2 | 32 tok/s estimated | Haiku-class | 22 GB | 256k |
| Qwen3.6 35B-A3BQ4_K_M | 37 tok/s estimated | Haiku-class | 23 GB | 256k |
| Muse Glimmer 30BQ4_K_M | 13 tok/s estimated | Haiku-class | 18 GB | 128k |
| Gemma 4 26B-A4BQ4_K_M | 27 tok/s estimated | Haiku-class | 18 GB | 256k |
| Gemma 4 31B itQ4_K_M | 10 tok/s estimated | Haiku-class | 23 GB | 128kmemory |
| Granite 4.2 30BQ4_K_M | 8.8 tok/s estimated | Haiku-class | 26 GB | 64kmemory |
| GLM-4.7-FlashQ4_K_M | 26 tok/s estimated | Haiku-class | 20 GB | 128k |
| Gemma 4 12BQ4_K_M | 29 tok/s estimated | Below every hosted tier | 8.0 GB | 256k |
| Qwen3.5 9BQ4_K_M | 34 tok/s estimated | Below every hosted tier | 6.8 GB | 256k |
| Nemotron 3.5 Lightning 30B-A3BQ4_K_M | 35 tok/s estimated | Below every hosted tier | 26 GB | 256k |
Speed and memory are at 32k context, the setting the calculator starts on; the memory column is the weights plus the cache for that much of it. Each speed says how it was arrived at, and every one here is estimated from this machine's 307 GB/s of memory bandwidth rather than taken from a published benchmark. There is a page on how that sum works, and what each size needs, and one on what 48 GB runs, machine by machine. The longest context is the longest setting the calculator offers that this machine still holds the model at, cache included, and each one opens the calculator on that model at that length. A figure tagged memory is one this machine ran out of room for, and the rest are stopped by the model's own limit or by the end of the list.
For scale, the calculator starts from 80 tok/s for a hosted API and times a local machine against it. Nothing above reaches it, and the quickest is 37 tok/s.
20 more fit. Ranked below the twelve above: MiniCPM5 2B, Qwen3.5 4B, Ling 3.0 tiny, Granite 4.2 8B, Qwen3-Coder 30B-A3B, gpt-oss-20b, Gemma 4 E4B, LFM2.5 2.6B, Devstral Small 2 24B, Ministral 3 14B, Ministral 3 8B. The other 9 have no intelligence-index score, so the ranking cannot place them: Laguna XS 2.1, LFM3 1.7B, Ornith 1.5 9B, Ornith 1.5 35B-A3B, Spark-X2.5 4B, Spark-X2.6 4B, KAT-Coder V2.5 Dev 35B-A3B, LFM2.5 24B-A2B, Flint 40B-A2.5B. Their pages show what each one needs and what runs it.
The 48 counted above are the current models. This site prices 16 superseded ones as well, because people still run them, and this machine holds ten of those at 32k, strongest first: Qwen3 30B-A3B Instruct 2507, DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Qwen-32B, Llama 3.1 8B Instruct at Q4_K_M, Llama 3.1 8B Instruct at Q8_0, Mistral Small 3.2 24B Instruct, Qwen3 32B at Q4_K_M, Qwen3 14B, Qwen3 8B, Gemma 3 27B it, Gemma 3 12B it. Each of those pages asks whether the model is still worth running.
Other machines to weigh against the Mac mini M5 Pro, 48GB
| Machine | Price | Memory | Models that fit | Pay-back |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The rest of the Mac mini range | ||||
| Mac mini M6, 16GB | $899 | 16 GB | 12 | Pays back in 71 years |
| Mac mini M6, 24GB | $1,099 | 24 GB | 16 | Pays back in 85 years |
| Mac mini M6, 32GB | $1,299 | 32 GB | 22 | Pays back in 82 years |
| Mac mini M5 Pro, 24GB | $1,699 | 24 GB | 16 | Pays back in 135 years |
| Mac mini M5 Pro, 64GB | $2,699 | 64 GB | 32 | Pays back in 182 years |
| Mac mini M4, 16GBdiscontinued | $599 | 16 GB | 12 | Pays back in 50 years |
| Mac mini M4, 24GBdiscontinued | $799 | 24 GB | 16 | Pays back in 66 years |
| Mac mini M4, 32GBdiscontinued | $999 | 32 GB | 22 | Pays back in 73 years |
| Mac mini M4 Pro, 24GBdiscontinued | $1,399 | 24 GB | 16 | Pays back in 114 years |
| Mac mini M4 Pro, 48GBdiscontinued | $1,799 | 48 GB | 32 | Pays back in 128 years |
| Mac mini M4 Pro, 64GBdiscontinued | $1,999 | 64 GB | 32 | Pays back in 142 years |
| Nearest in price elsewhere on the list | ||||
| MacBook Air M5 (15-inch), 16GB | $1,499 | 16 GB | 12 | Pays back in 118 years |
| NVIDIA GeForce RTX 5090, 32GB | $1,999card only | 32 GB | 32 | Pays back in 123 years |
| Strix Halo GMKtec EVO-X2, 64GB | $2,200 | 64 GB | 32 | Pays back in 168 years |
| MacBook Pro M5 (14-inch), 32GB | $2,399 | 32 GB | 22 | Pays back in 157 years |
| Mac Studio M5 Max, 36GB | $2,499 | 36 GB | 32 | Pays back in 149 years |
Every row uses the same defaults as the figures above: 500k tokens a day at 15:1 input to output, 32k context, and each machine's strongest model that fits, counted against the same 48 current models. The GeForce RTX 5090, 32GB is priced as the card alone, so add the PC around it before comparing it with a complete computer. All seven cards here are ranked by what each one holds.
Head to head with another computer: GMKtec EVO-X2, 64GB · MacBook Pro M5 (14-inch), 32GB. With the same machine at another memory size: 24GB · 64GB. With the machine it replaced: Mac mini M4 Pro, 48GB. There are 111 machine match-ups on the site.
The specifics
- Chip
- M5 Pro — 15-core CPU / 16-core GPU
- Memory bandwidth
- 307 GB/s
- Usable by the GPU
- 36 GB — macOS lets the GPU wire roughly 75% of unified memory by default (llama.cpp discussion #2182: 66.7% at 32 GiB or less, 75% above). Raise it with `sudo sysctl iogpu.wired_limit_mb`. Memory is treated as GB throughout, which is slightly conservative.
- Power under load
- 140 W (stand-in) — Apple has not published power figures for the 2026 machines yet (support articles 103253 / 102027 stop at the 2024/2025 models). Stand-in: Apple's published maximum for the previous chip (M4 Pro Mac mini, 140 W), which is a CPU+GPU stress figure, so it likely overstates inference draw.
- Availability
- Pre-order; ships 2026-09-22.
- Sources
- Apple (specs), Apple (newsroom), Daring Fireball