Sunk Cost sunkcost.ai Data checked 2026-09-03

DGX Spark GB10 Grace Blackwell, 128GB vs MacBook Air M5 (15-inch), 16GB for local AI

The DGX Spark, 128GB holds 39 of the 48 current models here, and the MacBook Air M5 (15-inch), 16GB holds 12. The MacBook Air M5 (15-inch), 16GB costs $3,200 less. On Gemma 4 12B, the strongest model both hold, the DGX Spark, 128GB is about 1.9× faster: 26 tok/s against 14, both estimated from memory bandwidth. The MacBook Air M5 (15-inch), 16GB pays for itself sooner, in 118 years against 346 years at 500k tokens a day, though that is each machine on its own strongest model rather than on the same one.

DGX Spark GB10 Grace Blackwell, 128GBMacBook Air M5 (15-inch), 16GB
Price$4,699$1,499
Memory128 GB16 GB
Usable by the GPU119.5 GB10.5 GB
Memory bandwidth273 GB/s153 GB/s
Power under load150 W65 Wstand-in
Models that fit3912
Best model it runsQwen3.8 27BGemma 4 12B
Speed on that model11 tok/s estimatedQwen3.8 27B14 tok/s estimatedGemma 4 12B
Pay-back on that modelPays back in 346 yearsPays back in 118 years

The 65 W beside the MacBook Air M5 (15-inch), 16GB is a stand-in, not a figure for that machine: the data borrows it from the nearest hardware it does have, and the machine's own page names which and why. So the two figures above are not like for like, and the electricity in its pay-back here is priced from a borrowed number.

Run the numbers on the DGX Spark GB10 Grace Blackwell, 128GB · or the MacBook Air M5 (15-inch), 16GB

Jump to: Side by side on Gemma 4 12B · How much use it takes to pay back · What the extra memory buys · The assumptions behind both columns

Side by side on Gemma 4 12B

The table above gives each machine the strongest model it can hold, and those are not the same model, so the two speeds in it are not a race. Gemma 4 12B is the strongest model both machines hold, so this is the pair running the same work.

DGX Spark GB10 Grace Blackwell, 128GBMacBook Air M5 (15-inch), 16GB
Speed26 tok/s estimated14 tok/s estimated
Pay-backPays back in 391 yearsPays back in 118 years

Run Gemma 4 12B on the DGX Spark GB10 Grace Blackwell, 128GB · or on the MacBook Air M5 (15-inch), 16GB

How much use it takes to pay back

Everything above is at 500k tokens a day. Pay-back moves with how much you actually run, so here are both machines on the same model, at the five levels of use the calculator names. The MacBook Air M5 (15-inch), 16GB pays back sooner at every level of use, so this is not a choice that turns on how hard you work it.

A day's useDGX Spark GB10 Grace Blackwell, 128GBMacBook Air M5 (15-inch), 16GB
50ka few chats a day3,908 years1,177 years
200klight assistant use977 years294 years
1Ma moderate coding-assistant day195 years59 years
4Mheavy coding with an agent49 years15 years
20Magents running most of the day9.8 years3.0 yearsits ceiling

On Gemma 4 12B the MacBook Air M5 (15-inch), 16GB generates at most 19.8M tokens a day, so its figure at 20M tokens a day is for the most it can do, not for the whole of what was asked.

Run the DGX Spark GB10 Grace Blackwell, 128GB at 20M tokens a day · or the MacBook Air M5 (15-inch), 16GB

What the extra memory buys

The DGX Spark GB10 Grace Blackwell, 128GB holds 27 models the MacBook Air M5 (15-inch), 16GB cannot at 32k of context. The strongest of them are what the difference in memory actually buys.

ModelWeightsNeeds at 32kOn the DGX Spark GB10 Grace Blackwell, 128GB
Qwen3.8 27BSonnet-class16 GB19 GB11 tok/s estimated
Ling 3.0 flashHaiku-class78 GB78 GB51 tok/s estimated
Qwen3.6 27BHaiku-class17 GB19 GB11 tok/s estimated
Nemotron 3.5 Bolt 74B-A9BHaiku-class22 GB22 GB61 tok/s estimated
Qwen3.6 35B-A3BHaiku-class22 GB23 GB70 tok/s estimated
Muse Glimmer 30BHaiku-class17 GB18 GB11 tok/s estimated

21 more, on the DGX Spark GB10 Grace Blackwell, 128GB page.

The extra memory buys context as well. Of the 12 current models both machines hold at 32k, 7 run to a longer window on the DGX Spark GB10 Grace Blackwell, 128GB: the weights are a fixed size and the KV cache is not, so what the weights leave spare is what a longer context grows into. Ministral 3 8B reaches 256k there against 32k on the MacBook Air M5 (15-inch), 16GB, each the longest window the calculator offers that the machine still holds it at.

The DGX Spark, 128GB is also head to head with another computer: Mac mini M5 Pro, 24GB · Mac Studio M5 Max, 128GB · GMKtec EVO-X2, 128GB · MacBook Pro M5 Pro (16-inch), 64GB · Corsair AI Workstation 300, 128GB. With a graphics card: RTX PRO 6000 Blackwell, 96GB · Radeon AI PRO R9700, 32GB.

The MacBook Air M5 (15-inch), 16GB is also head to head with another computer: Mac mini M5 Pro, 24GB · Mac Studio M5 Max, 128GB · GMKtec EVO-X2, 128GB · MacBook Pro M5 Pro (16-inch), 64GB · MacBook Air M5 (13-inch), 16GB. With a graphics card: RTX PRO 6000 Blackwell, 96GB · Radeon AI PRO R9700, 32GB.

The assumptions behind both columns

Both columns use the same usage: 500k tokens a day at 15:1 input to output, 32k of context, $0.17 per kWh, and today's API prices held flat. Speeds marked estimated are worked out from memory bandwidth rather than measured, and pay-back scales with them. Change any of it in the calculator.

More head to head: everything the DGX Spark GB10 Grace Blackwell, 128GB runs · everything the MacBook Air M5 (15-inch), 16GB runs · every other match-up · the quickest pay-back at each level of use · every model against the frontier